As the Brewers wrap up a series against the Cardinals and Tony LaRussa's peculiar lineup strategy, I thought it might be worth thinking about what would make certain lineups advantageous. LaRussa has been hitting the pitcher in the 8th spot, with a position player hitting behind him in the 9th slot, for several years now. Why?
Well, the aim is to have more men on base for the likes of Pujols as the game progresses. This seems like a worthy goal, but I think what I'd like to see is a small study done on the benefits of simply getting Pujols (or any elite hitter) more plate appearances rather than trying to put runners on in front of him. For instance, let's assume that over the course of a season, each slot in the lineup has 20 more plate appearances than the slot below it. (That is, slot 1 has 20 more PA than slot 2, and slot 2 has 20 more PA than slot 3, etc.) Then one way to gain more offense is simply to hit Pujols leadoff: he'll have 40 more PA than he does from the 3-hole. He currently has about 360 PA and 31 HR, so he homers about every 12 PA. If we round down, we're talking about adding 3 HR to his season simply by giving him more plate appearances.